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FX取引でATRを活用した利益確定ラインの決定方法（後編）

ここまで紹介したのは、1日のボラティリティを考慮した相場の考え方です。To get more news about ATR, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
　　ところで、もっと視点を広げてみたいと思います。
　　例えば、週足ATRや月足ATRです。今までは「1日単位」で考えていましたが、週単位や月単位で考えると、もっと面白くなります。
ポンドドル（GBPUSD）の4時間足チャートに週足単位のATRを表示しました。（※）1日単位のATRと同じ考え方で、過去のボラティリティから月曜日～金曜日までの値幅予想をすることができます。

※記事内で活用しているインジケータを無料プレゼントします。
　　詳細は最後のページに記載しております。

もちろん、視点が大きくなるほど誤差は生じやすくなり、ほとんどの週はATR＝100％までは到達しません。しかし、ATR＝50％つまり1/2ATRまでは到達する可能性が非常に高いのです。
　　よく見ると、随所で気持ちよく反応していること（赤枠）が分かります。オレンジの線が「1/2ATR（週足のATR＝50％）」です。
ポンドドル（GBPUSD）の日足チャートに月足単位のATRを表示させてみました。やはり、意識される水準であることが分かります。
　　見事に反発していることが分かります。逆張りトレードにも活用することができそうです。
ポンドドルの1時間足チャートに月足ATRと週足ATRを表示させてみました。
　　詳細のトレード手法についての解説はしませんが、月足や週足単位のATRを考えるときは、半分のボラティリティである「1/2ATR（＝50％）」を意識します。

週の前半や月の前半では1/2ATRが強力な支持帯/抵抗線になります。しかし、週の後半や月の後半になるにつれて、1/2ATRをブレイクしやすくなります。
　　この性質を利用すれば、「いつ相場がブレイクしやすいか」という見当もつけやすくなるでしょう。
ATR分析では、トレンドの方向を見極めることはできません。
　　現在持っているポジションをどこで決済すればよいのかの最適解を導き出せることが最大のメリットです。
　　利益確定の最適解とは、自分が最も気持ちよくトレードが終われる水準のことです。

デイトレーダーであれば1日のATR、スイングトレーダーであれば、週足ATRや月足ATRを目標にできるでしょう。
　　過去の相場で変動した値幅を基にしているATRを活用すれば、根拠のある利益目標や支持線/抵抗線を見つけ出すことが可能になります。

これまでに書いたFX関連記事は250記事以上。刻々と変化する相場と毎日向き合い、投資家の方々に価値ある情報を厳選して、分かりやすく解説しています。
　　記事内のインジケータ、「ATR Analyzer」について気になる方は、TwitterのDMや個人ブログより、お問合せください。
　　他にもYouTubeチャンネルやTwitter、個人ブログで相場に役立つ情報をお伝えしています。ぜひチャンネル登録とフォロー、よろしくお願いします。

Corona Varian Delta Mengancam, Namun Harga Emas Masih Tak Bergeming

Harga emas relatif stabil karena investor terjebak di antara kekhawatiran lonjakan virus Covid-19 varian Delta yang sangat menular dan ekspektasi kenaikan suku bunga lebih dini oleh Federal Reserve.To get more news about Ekonomi Indonesia, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
Mengutip CNBC, Selasa (29/6/2021) harga emas di pasar spot stabil di posisi 1.779,70 dolar AS per ounce. Sedangkan emas berjangka Amerika Serikat ditutup naik 0,2 persen menjadi 1.780,70 dolar AS per ounce.
　　“Ada kekhawatiran yang berkembang tentang penyebaran varian Delta virus korona, yang membawa kembali sedikit tawaran ke pasar emas dari perspektif aset safe-haven,” kata David Meger, Direktur High Ridge Futures.
　　Emas mengalami penurunan intraday terbesar dalam lima bulan setelah The Fed mengisyaratkan pengetatan kebijakan lebih awal dari ekspektasi pada 16 Juni.
　　Sementara itu S&P 500 dan Nasdaq mencapai level rekor, membatasi kenaikan logam kuning.
　　“Itu menghilangkan kepercayaan dari pasar emas, dan alasan mengapa kita melihat emas turun di bawah level 1.800 dolar AE baru-baru ini didasarkan pada hal itu,” ujar Meger.
　　Selanjutnya, investor mencermati data penggajian non-pertanian Amerika yang akan dirilis Jumat.
　　Potensi laporan ketenagakerjaan yang lebih kuat pekan ini dapat menghambat aliran positif ke emas untuk saat ini, tulis TD Securities dalam sebuah catatan.
　　Logam lainnya, perak naik 0,1 persen menjadi 26,09 dolar AS per ounce, platinum anjlok 1,4 persen menjadi 1.095,70 dolar AS per ounce, dan paladium melesat 1,6 persen menjadi 2.679,92 dolar AS per ounce.

“SẬP” SÀN HIT OPTION, QUY MÔ LỪA ĐẢO LÊN ĐẾN 7 NGHÌN 500 TỶ ĐỒNG

Ngày 22/6 vừa qua, Công an Tp.Hải Phòng cho biết, phát hiện sàn Hit Option giao dịch ngoại hối trái phép, lôi kéo số lượng lớn nhà đầu tư tham gia tại nhiều tỉnh, thành phố trên toàn quốc, đa số tại Hải Phòng. Sàn Hitoption đã chiếm đoạt tài sản của hàng chục nghìn người tham gia.To get more news about hit option lừa đảo, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
　　Lợi nhuận “khủng” đi kèm hành vi lừa đảo tinh vi
　　Sàn Hit Option tự giới thiệu đến từ Anh. Tuy nhiên, Công an Tp.Hải Phòng xác nhận sàn Hit Option do người Việt Nam thành lập do Nguyễn Thế Dương (SN 1996, trú tại phòng 1605, tòa nhà Star Tower, phường Yên Hòa, Cầu Giấy, Hà Nội), là Giám đốc Công ty TNHH MTV ANT Group) điều hành và Nguyễn Văn Quyền (SN 1983, trú tại Đa Tốn, Gia Lâm, Hà Nội) phụ trách kỹ thuật, có dấu hiệu vi phạm pháp luật.
　　Sàn Hit Option cam kết lãi suất từ 6 đến 15%/tháng, người chơi có thể rút tiền vốn và lãi về bất cứ lúc nào. Các đối tượng dụ dỗ lôi kéo người đầu tư tham gia theo phương thức đa cấp, người đầu tư trước giới thiệu người đầu tư sau vào sàn để hưởng tiền hoa hồng. Để mở rộng quy mô hoạt động, Nguyễn Thế Dương thuê gần 100 nhân viên gọi điện, quảng cáo trên các trang mạng xã hội, môi giới, tư vấn lôi kéo tham gia đầu tư vào sàn Hit Option thông qua trang web hitoption.net. Nhóm môi giới sẽ được hưởng hoa hồng từ 1-6%/ người chơi nạp tiền.
Với mức hoa hồng hấp dẫn, nhiều người đã giới thiệu người thân, quen, họ hàng cùng nạp tiền vào sàn Hit Option. Hình thức lôi kéo người chơi như được các đối tượng chăm sóc, tặng nhiều quà có giá trị khi người chơi giới thiệu thêm người mới/tăng thêm doanh số đầu tư của nhóm hoặc quà dịp lễ tết, sinh nhật... để gây thiện cảm. Kết quả thắng – thua được điều chỉnh theo ý muốn.
　　Qua công tác đấu tranh, các đối tượng khai nhận: Tháng 6/2020, Nguyễn Thế Dương - Giám đốc Công ty TNHH MTV ANT Group nhờ Nguyễn Văn Quyền thiết lập sàn Forex Hit Option, sử dụng chế độ BOT (chơi tự động) để đặt lệnh thay cho việc khách hàng tự giao dịch, đồng thời có thể can thiệp vào việc đặt lệnh của chế độ BOT để làm cho khách hàng thắng hoặc thua theo ý muốn của Dương.
　　Nhà đầu tư tham gia đặt cược theo tỷ giá lên (xanh), xuống (đỏ) của các cặp ngoại tệ trong khoảng thời gian 30 giây, nếu dự đoán đúng thì được hưởng 95% tiền đặt cược, nếu dự đoán sai sẽ mất toàn bộ số tiền (tương tự như trò chơi tài xỉu). Ngoài ra, nhà đầu tư có thể tự chơi hoặc ủy thác cho robot của sàn Hit Option cung cấp tự động chơi với lãi suất được các đối tượng cam kết từ 6-15%/tháng.
Trong vòng 100 ngày, người chơi có thể rút vốn lẫn lãi. Khi người chơi giới thiệu người chơi mới tham gia thì được hưởng 1,5% tiền hoa hồng. Thực chất các đối tượng hoàn toàn làm chủ hệ thống để điều chỉnh cho người chơi thắng, thua theo ý muốn nhằm mục đích chiếm đoạt tài sản.
　　Qua thu thập được tài liệu của sàn Hit Option, xác định 969 người tham gia, tổng số dư hiện tại của người chơi đã đầu tư tại thời điểm kiểm tra là hơn 629.000 USD (gần 15 tỷ đồng). Qua trích suất sơ bộ 16 sàn giao dịch điện tử khác do các đối tượng quản trị, xác định có khoảng 115.726 tài khoản trên sàn, tổng số dư hiện tại của các sàn là hơn 7.505 tỷ đồng, tổng số tiền đã rút ra là 611 tỷ đồng. Ban chuyên án tiếp tục phân tích các dữ liệu đã thu thập được để mở rộng đấu tranh, xử lý các đối tượng vi phạm.
Thượng tá Nguyễn Bình Khánh - Trưởng phòng An ninh kinh tế CATP cho biết, vụ án có quy mô lớn nhất từ trước đến nay trên địa bàn thành phố Hải Phòng và nhiều tỉnh, thành phố khác, liên quan đến tổ chức, hoạt động của hàng chục sàn giao dịch ngoại hối, BO, tiền ảo, website trái phép trên không gian mạng. Số lượng các nhà đầu tư trên các sàn giao dịch lớn, ở nhiều tỉnh, thành phố trong cả nước, với lượng tiền giao dịch rất lớn. Đây là loại hình tội phạm mới, các đối tượng sử dụng công nghệ cao để phạm tội, với phương thức, thủ đoạn tinh vi, xảo quyệt, có kinh nghiệm đối phó với Cơ quan Công an trong khi các quy định của pháp luật về chế tài xử lý đối với các đối tượng còn chưa đầy đủ.

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day

The Group of Seven summit wrapped up with the final communique committing 1 billion more doses of vaccines for poor countries, backing the U.S.-led calls for a probe of the pandemic's origins and pressing China on human rights. But a closer look at the vaccine goal shows the bloc has pledged only 613 million new doses, including some funded partly by previously announced aid. The final document also failed to finalize a timeline to ditch gasoline-powered cars, after an earlier proposal to make zero-emission vehicles the majority of new passenger auto sales by 2030. Overall, Biden notched the summit as a win, with other G-7 leaders visibly relieved to have a return to a more predictable and traditional U.S. administration. France’s Emmanuel Macron welcomed him back to the “club.”To get more news about EUR/USD, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
Muted Markets
　　Asian stocks look set for a muted start to the week as investors prepare for a key Federal Reserve meeting. Futures were little changed in Japan. Trading volumes are expected to be light with a number of holidays in the region including in Australia, China and Hong Kong. U.S. futures were steady after stocks staged a late rally Friday, closing at another record after a choppy day of trading. Ten-year Treasury yields inched up to around 1.45% after hitting three-month lows on Thursday, but still notched their biggest weekly slide since December
　　Putting the Chip Shortage in Context
　　While the chip shortage is no doubt tied to economic shocks related to COVID-19, it has revealed vulnerabilities that long pre-date the pandemic. We recently explored how government and industry are adjusting, and where to look for innovation as the semiconductor status quo is re-written.
Netanyahu‘s Fall From Power
　　Benjamin Netanyahu’s 12-year run as prime minister ended as Israel‘s parliament voted 60 to 59, with one abstention, to replace him with Jewish nationalist Naftali Bennett. For the indicted Netanyahu, the vote marks a brutal fall from power that leaves him even more legally imperiled. He’s at trial on corruption charges, which he denies. Out of office, he no longer has the option of seeking to pass legislation shielding a sitting leader from prosecution.
Elon Whipsaws Bitcoin
　　Bitcoin is on the move again, this time jumping above $39,000 Sunday afternoon in New York after Elon Musk said Tesla would resume transactions using the cryptocurrency when it's greener. In a tweet, he mentioned a threshold of “confirmation of reasonable (~50%) clean energy usage by miners with positive future trend.” Musk also reiterated the electric-car maker had sold about 10% of its Bitcoin holdings to demonstrate the tokens liquidity.
Apple's Post-Mask Future
　　Apple plans to drop its mask requirement for vaccinated customers at many U.S. stores beginning next week, sources say. Retail workers will still need to wear masks, and they‘ve been told they won’t have to ask customers for vaccine verification. The requirement for face coverings will also be dropped at some of Apples corporate offices in the U.S., according to a memo.

The Ultimate Guide to the Best Forex Candlestick Patterns

Both the hammer and the hanging man are probably the most basic, but at the same time, the most efficient candlestick patterns to trade Forex with if your goal is to jump in a trade when the market is about to reverse. That is why they belong to the category of one-candlestick reversal patterns. The hammer is the bullish pattern that appears at the bottom of the trend after a substantial price decline, whereas the hanging man is a bearish pattern that can be seen at the top of the uptrend. Both these patterns are tradable on any time frame higher than 15M.To get more news about Exness, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
　　The ability to recognize and trade off these patterns is invaluable for any successful Forex trader because they hint at the probable top, or the probable bottom, of a trend and signal that traders should start looking for the most optimal exit or entry points.
The hammer pattern emerges when a currency price drop substantially lower than the opening price of the day, but then the buyers step in and drive the price back to the level near the day‘s open, thus forming the one-candlestick pattern with a large lower wick (shadow), a relatively small real body at the absence, or a very small, upper wick. The color of the real body doesn’t bear much significance - it can be red (black) at the bottom of the downtrend or green (white) at the top of an uptrend. Certainly, a green body of a candlestick that flags the possible trend reversal might look more reassuring, but in reality, there have been many strong uptrends that stemmed from the hammer with the red body.
　　It‘s important to know that the proper hammer pattern should have the lower wick at least twice as large as the candle’s real body; otherwise, that Forex candlestick pattern must be deemed as neutral. Also, remember that the real body of either a hammer or a hanging man must stay close or be within the upper (lower) price range.
　　When this formation appears, traders say that the market is hammering out, and the reversal could be in the making. But the real essence of this candlestick pattern is best described by its Japanese name, “takuri”, which can be roughly translated as “testing the depth of the water by trying to reach for the bottom with a leg,” which makes a lot of sense when you look at its structure.
　　The rule of thumb for using both these patterns is quite simple: the strength, or the reliability, of a hammer or a hanging man depends on the length of the lower wick, the size of the real body, and the presence of the absence of an upper wick and its size. The most meaningful patterns have a very long lower wick, small bodies, up to the point where they look like a dragonfly doji, and a very little or no upper wick.
　　There is another hint regarding this pattern that we‘d like to share with you: when the hanging man appears at the presumed top of the uptrend, don’t rush into selling your position because the market is still running on the bullish steam, especially if the price movement is supported by the increasing volume, and there is a good chance that it would eat up the hanging man and continue pushing northward. Instead, wait for the next session to see whether the Forex market opens lower than the previous day‘s close. If that’s the case and the price drops with a considerable gap, the viability of the hanging man increases dramatically, and you can consider going short on that particular Forex pair.
Shooting star and inverted hammer point at the exit/entry points
　　A shooting star and an inverted hammer are basically a hanging man and a hammer turned upside down that also act as the reversal patterns that emerge at the probable finale of a strong trending movement. The pattern is formed when the price of the particular Forex pair opens slightly above the close of the previous day, rallies strongly at first, but then gets pressurized by the sellers almost to the open of the trading session, thus forming the pattern with a long upper shadow, a small body, and little to no lower shadow. Please remember that the shooting star pattern can be considered as tradable only in trending markets, especially during powerful rallies, or at the top of the congestion zone. A shooting star and an inverted hammer in the ranging market has little to no significance with regard to forecasting the upcoming price movement.
　　An inverted hammer, on the other hand, appears at the potential bottom of a downtrend and indicates that the buyers are seizing the initiative, and the price action might start going in the opposite direction. Both these patterns indicate that the market participants couldnt sustain the rally or the downslide.

Why Are 97% of Traders Knocked Down in the Forex Market?

Why will the vast majority of traders be kicked out of the forex market after trading for so long？ The essential reasons for this situation are located in the inconsistency between trading rules and logic and insufficient implementation, resulting in long-term, continuous trading errors. Mistakes commonly made by traders are presented as follows:To get more news about Forex Trading Tactics, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
　　Chasing a surging market
　　Please dont buy in because of a surging market, dramatic changes in which are indicative of numerous traps. The rational move for this is to observe the market, wait for a transient fall, and seize the opportunity to buy in.
　　Chaotic logic of trading
　　The trading mentality and behaviour should be continuous. The fixed logic should be relied on amid conducting the opening or closing, calculating profit points, and determining the timing of market entry or exit, thus making the behavior highly certain. Yet, it is hard for many traders to remain cool-headed, and they are prone to errors when failing to trade logically.
　　Hesitation
　　It is understandable that some traders prefer to add positions while others tend to stop losses in the face of mistakes in their trading. The thing is, hesitation is devastating. Please dont pin your hope of tiding over adversity on adding positions when you need to stop losses.
　　As for staying in the market to trade as long as you can, it is essential for you to embark on rules and logic and strengthen implementation!
　　Download WikiFX to get lessons from experts who have traded forex for over 20 years. (bit.ly/wikifxIN)

Gold breakout is imminent

GOLD has made a big range during the last week. Both ups and downs in the market marked the ranging move.To get more news about Fortrade, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
　　In my opinion, GOLD is still bullish. Dips have been bought above 1770 and if 1790 breaks we should see 1810 and 1831. At this point, the accumulation is happening and the breakout is imminent. However, if the range persists we could see 1770 again. I am mostly bullish now and expecting a long breakout.
However, as with any other individual Forex candlestick pattern, it is highly advisable to exercise patience and wait until the market reacts during the following trading session, whether it‘s on an hourly or a daily time frame. If the price starts moving in the direction opposite to the trend, preferably with a gap at the session’s open, the probability of a full-fledged reversal increases substantially. Also, when trading the shooting star pattern, you can get the confirmation by means of momentum indicators, such as MACD or RSI, which come very handy when determining when the shift of power takes place within the market. If the shooting star pops up when RSI, for instance, is deep in the overbought area (above 80), consider going for a sell or entering a short position. Moreover, when there is a divergence shown by any of these indicators (a discrepancy between the direction of the price action and the movement of indicators moving averages), the shooting star pattern at the top of the price swing would constitute a mighty strong sell signal.
　　As for the inverted hammer, it has a similar confirmation scheme: the gap to the upside on the back of the growing bullish momentum and rising price, but here it‘s important to take into account the color of the real body and the time during which the price holds above the hammer’s body and within the upper wick - the shorter it is, the higher is the probability that the reversal will pan out.
　　A shooting star, the hammers, and a hanging man are the only individual (single) candlestick patterns that matter in Forex trading - there are at least four types of doji patterns: the common, the long-legged, and gravestone, and the dragonfly dojis, but they work only in combination with confirmatory factors. Whereas the best Forex candlestick patterns come in the combination of two or more candlesticks, with engulfing patterns being probably the most easily determinable and arguably the most reliable Forex trading signals, if confirmed by the abnormally high trading volume or the showings of various indicators.

Binance: Watchdog clamps down on cryptocurrency exchange

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has ruled that the firm cannot conduct any “regulated activity” in the UK.To get more news about Novox, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
　　It also advised people to be wary of adverts promising high returns on cryptoasset investments.
　　Binance said the FCA notice would have no “direct impact” on the services it provides from its website Binance.com.
　　Binance's existing crypto exchange is not UK-based so despite the FCA ruling, there will be no impact on UK residents who use the website to purchase and sell cryptocurrencies.
　　The FCA does not regulate cryptocurrencies, but requires exchanges to register with them. Binance has not registered with the FCA and therefore is not allowed to operate an exchange in the UK.
　　The FCA move comes amid pushback from regulators around the world against cryptocurrency platforms.
　　Binance.com is an online centralised exchange that offers users a range of financial products and services, including purchasing and trading a wide range of digital currencies, as well as digital wallets, futures, securities, savings accounts and even lending.
　　Binance Group is currently based in the Cayman Islands, while Binance Markets Limited is an affiliate firm based in London. The firm has multiple entities dotted around the world and Binance Group was previously based in Malta.
　　The FCA said that Binance Markets Limited (BML), which is owned by Binance Group, is not currently permitted to undertake any regulated activities without the prior written consent of the FCA. It has until Wednesday to comply with the ruling.
　　The regulator also stressed that no entity in the Binance Group holds any form of authorisation, registration or licence to conduct regulated activity in the UK.

Key Forex Strategies

New to forex trading and looking for simple and effective trading strategies？To get more news about FOREX.com, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
　　We got you covered!
　　In this quick guide, we'll explain some of the key forex strategies which are easy to digest.
　　So, let's start!
1. Breakout
　　In simple words, a breakout is any price change that occurs outside of a predefined support or resistance zone.
　　Breakouts can occur when prices rise above resistance levels, which are referred to as bullish breakout patterns.
　　They can also occur when prices fall below support levels, known as a bearish breakout trend.
2. Moving average crossovers
　　When prices cross over their moving averages, technical traders also get a trading signal. A trader, for example, can sell when a price jumps off or crosses the MA from above in order to close below the moving average.
3. Trend trading
　　Another common forex trading strategy is trend trading. It's also easy for beginners to understand.
　　Detecting an upward or downward trend in a currency price movement and then selecting trade entry and exit points is the essence of trend trading. These points are based on the currency's market positioning within the trend and the relative intensity of the trend.
4. Momentum trading
　　Momentum strategies consider both price and volume, and it often employs visual tools such as oscillators and candlestick charts.
　　Download WikiFX (bit.ly/wikifxIN) and learn lessons from experts who have been trading forex for over 20 years.

Trading FX in South Africa

Trading on the foreign exchange market can be extremely difficult and complicated. There are so many factors involved and so many things to choose from.Currency pairs are the first thing many Forex hear about and begin trading. A currency pair is taking the price value of one currency and comparing it with another. There are 28 currency pairs, with 7 being based in the US Dollar. The US Dollar has the highest base currency than any other currency pair. Cross currency pairs, are pairs not based in US Dollar, these are often least attractive to traders. Along with currency pairs, traders also trade indices. Indices are based on organisation with value based on currencies. South Africans trade currency pairs and indices alike, but it is important to know the difference and which to trade and when.To get more news about WikiFX, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
Like most traders around the world, South Africans trade EUR/USD and GBP/USD more than any other pair. That is the Euro vs the United States Dollar and Great British Pound vs the United States Dollar. These pairs are great pairs to trade, as there is a lot of information about these pairs and its easy to understand these pairs when starting to trade. However, because many people trade these pairs, there is a lot of false information about these pairs. It is important to know how to navigate through false information and real information.
　　South Africans are also becoming very found of indices. The VIX75 and Nasdaq, happen to be the most traded indices in South Africa. Although VIX 75 is a close second, South Africans love trading Nasdaq. Nasdaq 100, refers to the 100 largest non-financial companies on the New York stock exchange. It is made up of 102 equity securities and it is traded as an indices/CFD. It is a very volatile CFD and is gaining a lot of attention in South Africa because of this. Indices move a lot more than normal currency pairs, which means traders can make a lot more money when trading indices, however this also means they can lose a lot more money. Such high stakes will require traders to have the best possible brokers for their needs, as brokers will take advantage of this situation.
　　Nasdaq can be a very lucrative indices to trade, but only if you have already mastered normal Forex trading pairs. It takes years to master those pairs, but once you have, moving on to something like Nasdaq will be a breeze. However, traders should always be weary of scams, especially in South Africa, where there is little regulation of scams. One way of searching for scams, is by using WikiFX. WikiFX is a Forex broker inquiry app, which allows traders to search and inquire about their broker. This is a very useful app, especially in South Africa, with all these Forex scams going on.